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I projected Rodrigues as a -370 favourite in this matchup but would normally want around -330 to bet him straight or at least -345 to use him as a parlay piece, and the market place has moved closer to -375. I do not trust the cardio on either side, and the longer the fight goes, the extra I'd be concerned about laying a significant number on a finish prop. Rodrigues has superior wrestling for a jiu-jitsu practitioner (four.4 takedown attempts per 15 minutes, 50% accuracy). Tiuliulin is a beneath-average defensive wrestler and grappler, even relative to the middleweight division. He also provides up his back effortlessly, which plays correct in Rodrigues' style, and I'd picture that 1 takedown really should be the finish of the fight. The middleweight bout among Gregory "Robocop" Rodrigues and Denis Tiuliun is the likeliest fight to end inside the distance on Saturday (-650 consensus odds). As opposed to the Gibson-Katona matchup, I don't see value regarding the total or any winning method props. On the other hand, I also show worth in the fight to attain a selection (projected -220, listed -176 at FanDuel) and on Gibson to win by decision (projected +290, listed +400 at FanDuel).
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